Alert Memorandum: Risk of Nuclear Conflict

Summary

“France could be leading the American people down a path toward a nuclear conflict decidedly not in the interests of the American people – or of humanity itself, VIPS warns President Joe Biden.”

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Transcript

France could be leading the American

0:01

people down a path toward a nuclear

0:03

conflict decidedly not in the interests

0:05

of the American people or of humanity

0:08

itself veps warns President Joe Biden

0:11

alert memorandum for the president from

0:14

veteran intelligence Professionals for

0:16

sanity subject on the brink of nuclear

0:19

war Mr President France is reportedly

0:22

preparing to dispatch a force of some

0:24

2,000 troops roughly a reinforced

0:27

Brigade built around an armored

0:29

Battalion and two mechanized battalions

0:31

with supporting logistical engineering

0:33

and artillery troops attached into

0:36

Ukraine sometime in the not so distant

0:39

future this force is purely symbolic in

0:42

as much as it would have zero

0:44

survivability in a modern high intensity

0:46

conflict of the scope and scale of what

0:49

is transpiring in Ukraine today it would

0:52

not be deployed directly in a conflict

0:54

Zone but would serve either as one a

0:56

screening Force trip wire to stop

0:58

Russia’s advance or to a replacement

1:01

Force deployed to a non-active Zone to

1:03

free up Ukrainian soldiers for combat

1:06

Duty the French Brigade reportedly will

1:08

be supplemented by smaller units from

1:10

the Baltic

1:12

states this would be introducing combat

1:14

troops of a NATO country into a theater

1:16

of war making them lawful targets under

1:19

the law of War such units would

1:21

apparently lack a NATO mandate in

1:24

Russia’s view however this may be a

1:27

distinction without a difference France

1:29

appears appears to be betting naively

1:31

that its membership in NATO would

1:33

prevent Russia from attacking French

1:35

troops rather it is highly likely that

1:38

Russia would attack any french Baltic

1:40

contingent in Ukraine and quickly

1:42

destroy degrade its combat

1:45

viability in that case French president

1:47

Marron May calculate that after Russian

1:50

attacks on the troops of NATO members

1:52

NATO mandate or not he could invoke

1:55

Article 5 of the NATO Charter and get

1:57

the NATO alliance to intervene such

1:59

intervention would likely take the form

2:01

of aircraft operating from NATO Nations

2:03

and perhaps include interdiction

2:05

missions against tactical targets inside

2:07

Russia on precipice of nuclear war

2:11

doctrinally and by legal right Russia’s

2:14

response would be to launch retaliatory

2:16

strikes also against Targets in NATO

2:20

countries if NATO then attacks strategic

2:23

targets inside Russia at that point

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Russia’s nuclear Doctrine takes over and

2:27

NATO decision-making centers would be

2:29

hit with nuclear weapons we do not

2:32

believe Russia will initiate a nuclear

2:34

attack against the us but rather would

2:37

leave it up to the United States to

2:38

decide if it wants to risk destruction

2:41

by preparing to launch a nuclear strike

2:43

on Russia that said Russian strategic

2:47

forces have improved to the point that

2:49

in some areas Hypersonic missiles for

2:52

example its capability surpasses that of

2:54

the US and nato in other words the

2:57

Russian temptation to strike first may

3:00

be a bit stronger than during past

3:01

crises and we are somewhat less

3:03

confident that Russia would want to go

3:06

second another disquieting factor is

3:09

that the Russians are likely to believe

3:10

that macron’s Folly has the tacit

3:12

approval of some key Us and other

3:15

Western officials who seem desperate to

3:17

find some way to alter the trajectory of

3:20

the war in Ukraine the more so as

3:23

elections draw

3:25

near what needs to be done Europe needs

3:28

to understand that France is leading it

3:30

down a path of inevitable

3:32

self-destruction the American people

3:34

need to understand that Europe is

3:36

leading them to the cusp of nuclear

3:38

Annihilation since Russian leaders May

3:41

suspect that macron is working hand in

3:43

glove with Washington the US needs to

3:46

make its position publicly and

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unambiguously clear and if France and

3:50

the baltics insist on sending troops

3:53

into Ukraine it must also be made clear

3:55

that such action has no NATO mandate

3:58

that article 5 will not be triggered by

4:01

any Russian retaliation and that the US

4:03

nuclear Arsenal including those nuclear

4:06

weapons that are part of the NATO

4:07

deterrent force will not be employed as

4:10

a result of any Russian military action

4:13

against French or Baltic troops void of

4:16

such Clarity France would be leading the

4:19

American people down a path toward a

4:21

nuclear conflict decidedly not in the

4:23

interests of the American people or of

4:26

Humanity itself.

 

Signed By:

VETERAN INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS FOR SANITY

• William Binney, former Technical Director, World Geopolitical & Military Analysis, NSA; co-founder, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.) • Marshall Carter-Tripp, Foreign Service Officer (ret) and former Office Director in the State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research • Bogdan Dzakovic, former Team Leader of Federal Air Marshals and Red Team, FAA Security, (ret.) (associate VIPS) • Graham E. Fuller, Vice-Chair, National Intelligence Council (ret.) • Philip Giraldi, C.I.A., Operations Officer (ret.) • Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq and Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS) • James George Jatras, former U.S. diplomat and former foreign policy adviser to Senate leadership (Associate VIPS) • Larry C. Johnson, former C.I.A. and State Department Counter Terrorism officer • John Kiriakou, former C.I.A. Counterterrorism Officer and former senior investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee • Karen Kwiatkowski, former Lt. Col., U.S. Air Force (ret.), at Office of Secretary of Defense watching the manufacture of lies on Iraq, 2001-2003 • Douglas Macgregor, Colonel, USA (ret.) (associate VIPS) • Ray McGovern, former U.S. Army infantry/intelligence officer & C.I.A. analyst; C.I.A. Presidential briefer (ret.) • Elizabeth Murray, former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East, National Intelligence Council & C.I.A. political analyst (ret.) • Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, U.S. Army Judge Advocate (ret.) • Pedro Israel Orta, former C.I.A. and Intelligence Community (Inspector General) officer • Scott Ritter, former MAJ, USMC; former U.N. Weapons Inspector, Iraq • Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.) • Lawrence Wilkerson, Colonel USA, ret.), Distinguished Visiting Professor, College of William and Mary (associate VIPS) • Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (ret.); Defense Intelligence Agency (ret.) • Kirk Wiebe, former Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA • Robert Wing, former Foreign Service Officer (associate VIPS) • Ann Wright, retired U.S. Army reserve colonel and former U.S. diplomat who resigned in 2003 in opposition to the Iraq War

 

 

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